60秒与…Maya Xiao,互动分析高级分析师

Our editor sat down with Maya Xiao to discuss the current and future lift truck industry.

By·

Maya Xiao

Interact Analysis

Title:Senior Analyst

Location:上海,中国

经验:五年作为互动分析分析师,她涵盖了升降机卡车行业和自动化,包括工业机器人。


Modern:玛雅,升降机卡车行业在过去一年的表现如何?

Xiao:我从2018年开始跟踪升降机卡车市场,而我的第一份报告是在2020年。从那时起,市场一直在迅速增长,尤其是在2级和3级细分市场中。

Modern:What do you think is driving the industry today?

Xiao:尽管我将市场分为制造和分销,但如果您一般看待市场,那是电子商务,劳动力短缺和劳动力成本不断增长的增长。在电动卡车市场上,需要在室内乃至户外的零排放量。

Modern:升降机是一项成熟的技术,但是您是否遵循技术变化?

Xiao:有两个:第一个是车辆的电气化,第二个是自治。用锂和氢燃料电池代替冰电池。电池价格将继续下降,但更重要的是,来自欧洲和亚太地区的环境政策。至于自治,叉车是仓库自动化中的一个链接。在北美,我们已经看到了一些完全自动化的,连接的仓库,而在亚太地区,它即将到来。

Modern:Lift trucks are entering the automation space. What’s the state of that technology?

Xiao:It’s still in the emerging or trial stage, where a typical project is just five or 10 vehicles. Right now, you can’t just copy and paste autonomous lift trucks into your warehouse. But, it’s maturing, and I think 2025 will be a turning point as more of the early pioneers gain experience.

Modern:Do you think the trajectory of growth for autonomous lift trucks will be like what we saw with AMRs? In that market, DHL began a few years ago with fewer than 10 in one facility and today have deployed more than 2,000 worldwide.

Xiao:Alts与AMR不同。自动升降机卡车的平均价格约为AMR的10倍。那是一个很大的差距。此外,其他竞争技术可能会出现。这就是为什么我认为我们会在2025年之前收到信号的原因。

Modern:What excites you most about what’s next for the industry?

Xiao:当我开始研究时,Lift Trucks在制造和仓库中起着作用,但它们并未像AMR这样的整体系统集成到整个系统中。18luck.com但是,将来,我认为像3级的小型升降机能够做到这一点。这是一个成熟的市场,该领域有数十万个单位,但由于我一开始提到的那些趋势,它仍在快速增长。


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